The relationship between species number and area is one of the most widely documented patterns in ecology. Many different hypotheses have been developed to explain such patterns, and one of the most important is the Island Biogeography Model developed by Robert MacArthur and E.O. Wilson in 1967.


The idea behind this model is that the steady state number of species in a given area is determined by a balance between immigration of new species into the area and extinction. The model assumes that regions with smaller areas have populations with fewer individuals in them. Consequently, such populations are more likely to go extinct. This higher extinction rate in smaller regions thereby results in a smaller steady state number of species. 


Below is another example of species-area curve, in this case for plants. The data are from 88 regions of different sizes. 

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The function plotted in the figure is 


Although there is a lot of scatter in the data, this function provides a reasonably good prediction for the number of species expected in regions of different sizes. You can explore the data yourself by downloading it from the link on the left. 


References

MacArthur, R.H. and E.O. Wilson. 1967. The theory of island biogeography. Princeton University Press


Data are from Lonsdale, W.M. 1999. Gobal patterns of plant invasions and the concept of invasibility. Ecology 80:1522-1536

© James Stewart and Troy Day, 2014